Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.191260 0.215978 0.242130 0.271803 0.304482 0.339313 0.379190
2025-06-29 0.156602 0.189611 0.226547 0.270746 0.321993 0.379331 0.448117
2025-07-06 0.131895 0.169774 0.214272 0.269989 0.337435 0.415968 0.513819
2025-07-13 0.114930 0.156292 0.207031 0.273132 0.356173 0.456195 0.584839
2025-07-20 0.103287 0.147604 0.204113 0.280349 0.379270 0.501937 0.664020
2025-07-27 0.091794 0.137526 0.198011 0.282316 0.395010 0.538510 0.732792
2025-08-03 0.083724 0.130990 0.195617 0.288376 0.415694 0.581643 0.811139
2025-08-10 0.077397 0.126083 0.194735 0.295952 0.438251 0.627656 0.894598
2025-08-17 0.069219 0.117530 0.187819 0.294290 0.447598 0.655933 0.955062
2025-08-24 0.062546 0.110488 0.182347 0.293997 0.458381 0.686085 1.018648
2025-08-31 0.056562 0.103862 0.176836 0.293020 0.467749 0.714208 1.079978
2025-09-07 0.052903 0.100587 0.176075 0.298892 0.487072 0.756732 1.162540
2025-09-14 0.048069 0.095006 0.171464 0.298842 0.498005 0.788315 1.231770
2025-09-21 0.043704 0.089768 0.166945 0.298529 0.508352 0.819262 1.301017
2025-09-28 0.039802 0.084925 0.162642 0.298167 0.518409 0.849940 1.370696
2025-10-05 0.037003 0.081798 0.160944 0.301839 0.534789 0.890476 1.456064
2025-10-12 0.035161 0.080281 0.161868 0.309833 0.558276 0.942454 1.560012
2025-10-19 0.032600 0.077078 0.159530 0.312053 0.572361 0.980287 1.643521
2025-10-26 0.030894 0.075403 0.159790 0.318690 0.593861 1.030210 1.746823
2025-11-02 0.029534 0.074295 0.160981 0.326955 0.618306 1.085413 1.859707
2025-11-09 0.027021 0.070461 0.156726 0.325161 0.625553 1.113335 1.930638
2025-11-16 0.024913 0.067266 0.153433 0.324850 0.635193 1.145236 2.008525
2025-11-23 0.022911 0.064077 0.149883 0.323791 0.643366 1.174846 2.083385